Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Christmas weather books and Storm Chaser book review
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 04:54 PM GMT on December 18, 2007 +3
Storm Chaser: A Photographer's Journey ($23.10 from Amazon) takes the reader on a spectacular photographic journey through the U.S., documenting four seasons of our beautiful and violent weather. Author Jim Reed makes a business of weather photography, and has spent over 15 years chasing storms and documenting their awesome beauty and violent destructive power. The 191-page book would make a perfect Christmas coffee table book for that weather enthusiast (yourself?) in the family, and has great photos of tornadoes, hurricanes, hailstorms, blizzards, sunsets, and lightning. The book is mostly photos, but there are several riveting stories Reed tells. Most captivating is the story of his encounter with Category 4 Hurricane Charley as it pounded Punta Gorda, Florida in 2004. Reed miscalculated his time needed to get to shelter, and got caught in his vehicle on the road in the eyewall. Luckily, his videotaped farewell for mother and friends done during the height of the storm was not needed, as he was able to find shelter during the 4-minute passage of the eye. Reed also braved Hurricane Katrina from the beach front, and tells an abbreviated version of his dramatic encounter with the hurricane from Gulfport, Mississippi. I also recommend Hurricane Katrina Through the Eyes of Storm Chasers ($14.96 from Amazon) to read the full tale of his Katrina experience.

Storm Chaser: A Photographer's Journey has a few flaws. The quality of the writing is not quite as high as that of my favorite storm chaser book, the now dated 1996 Warren Faidley book, Storm Chaser: In pursuit of untamed skies (no longer in print, but available used). Reed's text doesn't match up with the photos presented on the pages in places, and he makes a number of unwarranted connections between global warming and extreme weather events. For example, he blames the June 22, 2003 fall of volley ball-sized hailstones in Aurora, Kansas on global warming. No single weather event can be attributed to climate change--all we can say is that the probabilities of some extreme weather events have increased. For example, the incidence of extreme precipitation events (the heaviest 1% of rain storms) has increased 20% over the U.S. in recent decades. No scientific papers have been published showing a link between tornadoes or hailstorms and climate change. That quibble aside, I heartily recommend Storm Chaser: A Photographer's Journey. The photos are fantastic. Three and a half stars out of four.

Best weather books published in 2007

Weather Photography:
Storm Chaser: A Photographer's Journey ($23.10 from Amazon).

Climate change:
Storm World: Hurricanes, Politics, and the Battle Over Global Warming by Chris Mooney ($17.16 from Amazon). See the realclimate.org review. I'll be posting a review of my own at some point.

General Weather:
Extreme Weather: A Guide and Record Book by Christopher Burt ($17.13 from Amazon). I hope to review this book soon.

Hurricanes:
Hurricane Almanac by Bryan Norcross ($11.04 from Amazon). See my review of the book.

Tornadoes:
Storm Warning: the Story of a Killer Tornado by Nancy Mathis ($16.32 from Amazon). See my review of the book.

Jeff Masters
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Reader Comments
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51. Cavin Rawlins 01:52 AM GMT on December 19, 2007    
no one is online so....see ya'll 2morrow.
Member Since: Juli 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
52. sporteguy03 04:55 AM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Wow Dr.Masters thank you for the Holiday Shopping update!
Member Since: Juli 7, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 4824
53. HadesGodWyvern 07:16 AM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Sub-Regional Specialized Meteorological Center - Mauritius

Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
=============================

As of 0600 AM UTC, Tropical Depression [996 hPa] located near 14.0S 82.5E or 2,930 kms east-northeast of Reunion coast has 10 min sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts up to 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving southwest at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Warning Area
=====================
30 NM radius of the center
60 NM from the center in southern semi-circle

Forecast and Intensity
==========================
12 HRS: 14.7S 82.2E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Moderée)
24 HRS: 15.7S 82.1E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Moderée)

Additional Information
======================
The system exists within an environment favorable for gradually intensification. It should remain on the eastern part of the basin, and track globally southward then southeastward as it intensifies.
Member Since: Maj 24, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 36684
54. Cavin Rawlins 10:09 AM GMT on December 19, 2007    
GM,

Tropical Depression 05R/Tropical Cyclone 07S

0830 UTC DEC 19 2007

Pattern: A 1 degree CDO with an embedded curved band about 0.80 arc.

Current Intensity: CI 3.0

Adjustments: MET shows cyclone intensity at 3.5

Final CI: 3.0/3.5

Dvorak Trends:
0030 UTC DEC 17 - CI 1.5
1030 UTC DEC 17 - CI 1.7
1500 UTC DEC 17 - CI 2.2
2300 UTC DEC 17 - CI 2.5
1030 UTC DEC 18 - CI 2.5
1430 UTC DEC 18 - CI 2.5
1955 UTC DEC 18 - CI 2.5
0100 UTC DEC 19 - CI 2.7
0830 UTC DEC 19 - CI 3.0/3.5

Member Since: Juli 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
55. IKE 11:35 AM GMT on December 19, 2007    
This blog is absolutely dead. There has to be a weather event to hold people on this blog in the winter time.
Member Since: Juni 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
57. Ivansrvivr 12:51 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
blah!!!!!!!
58. Ivansrvivr 12:54 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Enso 3 is strong for El Nino -2 is strong for La Nina
59. cchsweatherman 01:01 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Good morning all! Wanted to stop by for a few before I bring my grandmother to the airport this morning. Is she in for a shock when she gets back to Connecticut. There is a good 50 degree temperature difference between here in South Florida and her home in Connecticut.

456, thank you for the info yesterday. Keep it coming. Now that I am out of classes, I can study the Dvorak technique during my spare time during my winter vacation.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926
61. cchsweatherman 01:21 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Good morning Storm. Have you gotten your car repaired and recovered from your accident? Hope you have. Anything that you are watching that could impact South Florida anytime soon? I know that there will be a strong cold front coming just in time for Christmas Day, but I have also seen on computer models what appears to be a conveyor belt of strong cold fronts and huge jet stream dips coming into Florida after that. I have been waiting for the real cold weather here, not the upper 40s we got the past two mornings.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926
63. NEwxguy 01:44 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
GM all
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 815 Comments: 13069
64. Dakster 02:00 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
glad you are ok storm... Hopefully the car will be soon enough.

Anyone know if there is rain headed to the Southeast US anytime soon?
Member Since: Marts 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 4920
65. HIEXPRESS 03:09 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Following up:
Orlando Sentinel Story

Human error prevented many people in Central Florida from getting tornado-warning alerts on their weather radios during a storm Sunday, a National Weather Service spokesman said Tuesday.

A National Weather Service employee turned down power to an Orlando transmitter for testing Thursday and forgot to turn it back up. That resulted in sporadic signal coverage from the transmitter.
Member Since: Oktober 13, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 2153
66. Beachfoxx 03:39 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Storm, glad you are o.k.!

Ike, yep, we need exciting weather events to hold our attention! LOL

Hard to be excited when its 60F, sunny and a nearly perfect day for December! Bay is flat and looks like a mirror reflecting the glorious of nature! Not much to talk about. But sure is a day to enjoy!
Member Since: Juli 10, 2005 Posts: 153 Comments: 29283
67. NEwxguy 04:05 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
I see we have a quiet blog today
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 815 Comments: 13069
68. cchsweatherman 04:21 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Well, NE, I guess it is a good thing that we have a quiet blog today. It means that there is no major storm or system out there.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926
69. LakeShadow 04:26 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
morning...anything new today?
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
70. franck 04:28 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Dakster...moisture approaching the southeastern US will probably be brief.
Member Since: August 30, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
71. Cavin Rawlins 04:35 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
456, thank you for the info yesterday. Keep it coming. Now that I am out of classes, I can study the Dvorak technique during my spare time during my winter vacation.


i will email u the eye patter and some other adjustments, rules and contraints...as soon as i get home
Member Since: Juli 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
72. NEwxguy 04:52 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
awaiting more snow today,hopefully minor
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 815 Comments: 13069
73. LakeShadow 05:38 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
yeah, theres a clipper in the NW of WNY and it'll give me my 11th snow. Counting 'em down!!!
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
74. NEwxguy 05:43 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Lake your totals are going to be complete by the end of december
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 815 Comments: 13069
75. Cavin Rawlins 05:50 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Tropical Depression 05R

1630 UTC DEC 19 2007

Pattern: Infrared imagery continues to show a solid dense overcast about 1/2-3/4 of a degree in diameter. The curved bands of the deepest convection has extended out further and around the cloud system centre (CSC). Thus the CI will raised to 3.5.

Current Intensity: CI 3.5

Adjustments: Model expected data agrees with 3.5.

Final Estimate: CI 3.5

Dvorak Trends:
Dvorak Trends:
0030 UTC DEC 17 - CI 1.5
1030 UTC DEC 17 - CI 1.7
1500 UTC DEC 17 - CI 2.2
2300 UTC DEC 17 - CI 2.5
1030 UTC DEC 18 - CI 2.5
1430 UTC DEC 18 - CI 2.5
1955 UTC DEC 18 - CI 2.5
0100 UTC DEC 19 - CI 2.7
0830 UTC DEC 19 - CI 3.0
1630 UTC DEC 19 - CI 3.5

Member Since: Juli 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
76. hondaguy 05:55 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Morning err, afternoon almost. Quiet here today. Expecting rain tonight and tomorrow. A few severe storms possible? We'll see.

Warm out right now...mid 70's!
77. LakeShadow 06:01 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Its warmed up here, too. A "balmy" 36 degrees...
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
78. hondaguy 06:06 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
77. LakeShadow 6:01 PM GMT on December 19, 2007
Its warmed up here, too. A "balmy" 36 degrees...


Trade Ya!!
79. NEwxguy 06:12 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
36 deg,your having a heatwave,I'm at 32
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 815 Comments: 13069
80. LakeShadow 06:14 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
yeah its the high for today, though. We're plummeting for the night...but we get near 40 on Saturday! yipee!!!
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
81. Cavin Rawlins 06:29 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
.
Member Since: Juli 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
82. Bonedog 06:29 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
hey folks
Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
83. cchsweatherman 06:32 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Hey Bonedog. How are you doing today?
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926
84. Bonedog 06:37 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
good CCH and yourself?
Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
85. Cavin Rawlins 06:40 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
I did a synopsis of this on Sunday....

Strong winds gusted over the Gulf of Mexico on December 16, 2007, and though the wind is invisible in these photo-like snapshots, its presence is written in the clouds and on the surface of the water. The image, captured by the MODIS on NASA's Aqua satellite on the afternoon of December 16, shows long rows of clouds called cloud streets that are combed into a sweeping curve by the northwest wind. The clouds formed when cold, dry air blowing out of the northwest encountered warm, moist air over the gulf. The fast-moving cold air chilled the moist air until the water vapor condensed into clouds that followed the wind%u2019s path.

In addition to the long vertical lines that align with the wind direction, clusters of waves cut across the clouds parallel to the shore. These lines are the [frontal] waves created when the cold, dry air collided with and rose over the mass of warm, moist air. Like the waves that rise and fall through water after it hits a retaining wall, these waves ripple across the front of the cold air mass where it clashes with the stable, warm air. The dark horizontal lines are cloud-free areas where the oscillating cold air dips into the warmer air beneath it. The air is too warm in the trough of the waves for clouds to form.

courtesy: Nasa



higher resolution

http://modis.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery/images/image12192007_1km.jpg
Member Since: Juli 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
86. Cavin Rawlins 06:48 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Similar but offshore the US East Coast

Member Since: Juli 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
87. cchsweatherman 06:48 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
456, where do you get those amazing satellite images? I want to put a few on my site when there are storms or cold fronts.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926
88. Bonedog 06:51 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
cch you can get them here

MODIS
Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
89. Cavin Rawlins 06:51 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
MODIS Rapid Response:

http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/realtime/2007353/
Member Since: Juli 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
90. Bonedog 06:53 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
northeast snowcover plus cloud streets over the atlantic

Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
91. cchsweatherman 07:01 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Thanks alot Bonedog and 456. I love these images.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926
92. Bonedog 07:02 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
your welcome. Love checking MODIS every day. sometimes you get awsome images
Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
93. LakeShadow 07:05 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
hey bone...wazzzup?
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
94. Bonedog 07:06 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Hey lake. Just waiting for the snow showers to happen
Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
95. Bonedog 07:09 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
CCH one of my favorite MODIS images...

extremely large waves in the Atlantic of Brazil

Link
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96. cchsweatherman 07:11 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
Imagine the surf in those waves Bone.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926
97. Bonedog 07:13 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
LOL if they made it to shore probably in the 30 foot range.

heres some of Libya
Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
98. LakeShadow 07:16 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
well the sky to my west is getting darker. Its raining lightly. toowarm for snow but it should cool down tonight.

Buffalo, New York
37 °F / 3 °C
Light Drizzle
Humidity: 79%
Dew Point: 31 °F / -1 °C
Wind: 13 mph / 20 km/h / 5.7 m/s from the SW
Pressure: 29.93 in / 1014 hPa (Falling)
Windchill: 29 °F / -2 °C
Visibility: 7.0 miles / 11.3 kilometers
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Overcast 1900 ft / 579 m
(Above Ground Level)
Snow Depth: 7.0 in / 17.78 cm
Raw METAR Aviation
Flight Rule: MVFR (KBUF)
Wind Speed: 13 mph / 20 km/h / 5.7 m/s
Wind Dir: 220° (SW)
Ceiling: 1900 ft / 579 m


Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
99. Bonedog 07:19 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
bought the same conditions when i left my house Lake. Should start as rain here then change over also
Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
100. LakeShadow 07:25 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    


here's a pretty one just east of Madagascar
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
101. hondaguy 07:29 PM GMT on December 19, 2007    
The snow cover images are awesome looking. Thanks for pointing us to the MODIS site 456!!

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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