Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

More record-setting heat; Waldo Canyon Fire consumes 15,000 acres
Posted by: Angela Fritz, 07:17 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012 +36
Tuesday's heat toppled many records in the Central U.S., particularly in Colorado, Nebraska, and Kansas. On Monday and Tuesday combined, 11 locations tied or broke their all-time record high temperature, 78 locations broke their all-time record high for the month of June, and 382 daily high records fell. Some notable Tuesday records from our Weather Historian:

115° in McCook, Nebraska is the all-time record for any month. The old records for site are 114° 7/20/1932 and for June 112° 6/5/1933—both set in the heat waves of the 1930s. Yesterday's 115° at Mc Cook also broke the all-time Nebraska state June record of 114° which was set in Franklin in 1936.

105° in Denver, Colorado, ties Monday's all-time record, and ties the 5-day record for number of days above 100°.

101° in Colorado Springs, Colorado is the all-time undisputed record high for any month.

111° in Miles City, Montana is the all-time high for any month.

111° in Lamar, Colorado tied that all-time heat record in any month.

115° in Hill City, Kansas is the new June record, but fell short of all-time 117° reading, and one degree short of Kansas state June record.

110° in Dodge City, Kansas ties the all-time high for any month, which was just set last June.

Wheat Ridge, Colorado (103°) and Cedar Bluff Dam, Kansas (110°) also tied their all-time record highs on Tuesday. Our Weather Historian Christopher C. Burt, who mused that this heat wave is starting to shape up like the record setting heat waves of the 1930s, will have a full-length post on this week's incredible heat wave on Friday. Today the heat shifts eastward, with eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois in an excessive heat watch, and eastern Kansas and western Missouri in an excessive heat warning. St. Louis could start to see 100°+ today, and Chicago will likely have their warmest day on Thursday. This heat wave will reach the eastern U.S. by Friday.

Waldo Canyon Fire engulfs parts of Colorado Springs

Firefighters are "on the offensive" on Wednesday as they fight the Waldo Canyon Fire, which started Saturday afternoon for reasons unknown. The fire is 5% contained as of Wednesday afternoon, though firefighters are using triage protocol, according to the AP, to save the homes that they are able to save. 30,000 people have fled their homes on Wednesday as the fire grew to over 15,000 acres. The region remains in a red flag warning as conditions continue to be unfavorable for fighting both this and the High Park fire, which continues to burn west of Fort Collins. Humidity is expected to remain around or less than 10%, and winds could gust up to 50 mph.


Figure 1. The Waldo Canyon Fire as seen on Wundermap, which is burning just northwest of Colorado Springs, and is 5% contained. This fire has engulfed over 15,000 acres since it began on Saturday, as firefighters try to fight the blaze under weather conditions favorable for wildfires.

Debby Says Farewell

Tropical Depression Debby is in the Atlantic and moving further out to sea and rainfall is winding down. Over the past week, Debby has dropped more than 20 inches of rain over northern Florida, and widespread amounts of 10+ inches as far south as Port Charlotte. While still classified as tropical, Debby seems to be losing her tropical characteristics as it merges with the frontal boundary that guided it across Florida. The depression continues to be hammered by westerly wind shear, and could be classified as post-tropical or dissipate all together soon.


Figure 2. Rainfall accumulation over the past 7 days as of June 27. Debby has dropped more than 20 inches of rain over northern Florida, and widespread amounts of 10+ inches as far south as Port Charlotte. Image modified from NWS.

Meantime, in the main development region of the Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center is giving an African easterly wave a 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours. This is the first main development region activity we've seen so far this season, though its peak usually doesn't happen until later in the Summer and early Fall. This wave is producing some thunderstorm activity which is visible on satellite, and it appears to have moderate mid-level circulation. Wind shear in the region is relatively low, only 10-15 knots, and the wave is moving into a more favorable wind shear zone, which will remain until it reaches the Lesser Antilles. The moisture in and around this wave is also relatively low. I would also put this wave's probability of development at minimal over the next few days.

Angela
Waldo Canyon Wildfire (apphotos)
Fire from the Waldo Canyon wildfire burns as it moved into subdivisions and destroyed homes in Colorado Springs, Colo., on Tuesday, June 26, 2012. (AP Photo/Gaylon Wampler)
Waldo Canyon Wildfire
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101. weatherh98 08:05 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting Grothar:
Is something trying form in the Bay of Campeche.




yes
Member Since: Juni 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091
102. PRweathercenter 08:05 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting Grothar:
Is something trying form in the Bay of Campeche.


maybe, there's a chance for development in the area, conditions are pretty decent
Member Since: Juli 21, 2010 Posts: 58 Comments: 916
103. washingtonian115 08:05 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting weatherh98:


peurto rico weather center. i ignored him months ago and it still screws the blog up
I've ignore him since and haven't taken him off my list since.I think he does it on purpose.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10655
104. PRweathercenter 08:06 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


well you still should just post it in the normal comment box, you cause a lot of people problems, and you get yourself on ignore lists that you wouldnt be on otherwise.

Try it, you will see it works
ok, thanks!
Member Since: Juli 21, 2010 Posts: 58 Comments: 916
105. GeorgiaStormz 08:06 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting Grothar:
Is something trying form in the Bay of Campeche.




no
Member Since: Februar 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7163
106. weatherh98 08:06 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
I've ignore him since and haven't taken him off my list since.I think he does it on purpose.


he is nice it just screws us up
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107. IceCoast 08:07 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Come on rain!

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108. Clearwater1 08:07 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
The latest AOI, 10% may not be anything yet, but as soon as the GFS picks it up, Im all over it. True believer when that happens.
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1502
109. Neapolitan 08:07 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Speaking of the heat: Hill City, KS, is up to a balmy 114 degrees as of 3:00 PM CDT:



Hill City actually made it up to 115 for a time. That breaks the old daily record of 107 by a whopping eight degrees.
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110. PRweathercenter 08:07 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
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111. TxWxHHPF 08:08 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting LargoFl:


I don't think that is rain... that is 106 degrees of evaporation. It is all sorts of hot here in Dallas today. I am glad to see Florida is finally getting a chance to dry out a little.
Member Since: Juni 13, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 19
112. washingtonian115 08:08 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting weatherh98:


he is nice it just screws us up
Yeah but how many times do people over the past two years have to tall you that you screwed up the blog with your videos before it goes through your head?.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10655
113. sunlinepr 08:08 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting PRweathercenter:
It's the same in Puerto Rico, the south and west parts of the islands are very dry!


Both islands receive WV from the trade winds from the E and due to the mountains, trap that moisture releasing it the afternoon... So you will have showers in the West coast almost every day......
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8447
114. CaicosRetiredSailor 08:09 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
.....try this again

A view of the Airforce Academy Chapel with fire in view

https://mobile.twitter.com/#!/Allismith4/status/2 18062978866618368?photo=1
Member Since: Juli 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5131
115. sunlinepr 08:10 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting PRweathercenter:


watch for the one coming off the coast in the next day or two!
Looks more powerfull. Will have to check where it's located.... respecting Latitude...
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8447
116. PRweathercenter 08:11 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
I've ignore him since and haven't taken him off my list since.I think he does it on purpose.


I'm sorry if i caused problems with the video blog, I won't post any more, sorry again for any problem this caused, and i hope you'll take me off your ignore list,
that wasn't my intentions!
Member Since: Juli 21, 2010 Posts: 58 Comments: 916
117. tropicfreak 08:11 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
A cooler winter for us/snowier.And fortunately/unfortunately if you love tracking hurricanes the shear won't be that horrible.But without the shear in place(with other negative factors) that means storms have a better chance for survival causing more problems...


Well that's awesome... because I'm a big time snow lover.
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118. washingtonian115 08:11 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
I have come to the conclusion that if you live in Florida you should at least own a canoe.
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119. TropicalAnalystwx13 08:12 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting Grothar:
Is something trying form in the Bay of Campeche.



Maybe.
Member Since: Juli 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25307
120. TropicalAnalystwx13 08:12 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting PRweathercenter:


I'm sorry if i caused problems with the video blog, I won't post any more, sorry again for any problem this caused, and i hope you'll take me off your ignore list,
that wasn't my intentions!
Member Since: Juli 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25307
121. sunlinepr 08:13 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8447
122. washingtonian115 08:14 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Okay.But please don't post those videos any more :).
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123. jeffs713 08:14 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting sunlinepr:

Looks extratropical to me, as it appears to be attached to a front.
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124. TropicalAnalystwx13 08:15 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting sunlinepr:

The advisory at 5PM will likely be its last as a tropical cyclone. May/should be declared a post-tropical cyclone at 11PM EDT.
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125. sunlinepr 08:15 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
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126. sunlinepr 08:19 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
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127. washingtonian115 08:20 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
I'm surprised the NHC hasn't looked into the BOC yet.It does have a pretty decent potential on that tropical cyclone potential map.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10655
128. Hurricanes305 08:21 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
There seem to be something interesting in the BOC we could very well have a yellow circle (20%) at 8 pm. It will most likely move into Mexico anyways. CATL wave still holding strong.


Quoting washingtonian115:
Okay.But please don't post those videos any more :).


Wow he really messed up the blog posting those videos hopefully he gives us links instead.
Member Since: Maj 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 746
129. Grothar 08:21 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Maybe.


I got a Yes, a No, and a Maybe! UMMH. I guess we don't have a consensus yet!
Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19542
130. PRweathercenter 08:21 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Okay.But please don't post those videos any more :).


you got it ! ;-)
Member Since: Juli 21, 2010 Posts: 58 Comments: 916
131. wolftribe2009 08:22 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
The area of the GOM in the Bay of Campeche looks to be getting a good deal of wind shear. I have eyes on the area in the Central Atlantic that NOAA has given 10% chance. A bit of a whirl there and thunderstorms increasing. We will have to keep an eye on it. I don't think it will become anything immediately but it might be interesting to follow.

Link
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132. icmoore 08:24 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    

ST. PETE BEACH --
A family of 5 has been rescued from the water off St. Pete Beach and rushed to local hospitals around 2:30 p.m. Wednesday.


A Good Samaritan who jumped on boogie board and swam out to the family said he and two others reached the family near a buoy.

The Good Samaritan told Bay News 9 he rescued one man who was "barely conscious" when he got him back to shore.

The man went back and rescued a woman who appeared to be in her 40's. He said she was unresponsive from the time he got to her. He said it took roughly 15 minutes to get back to her and get back to shore.

The man is from Melbourne. He was not identified.

The man said he overheard police at the scene state the family is from Alabama, but Bay News 9 has not independently confirmed the witness account.

The rescues occurred at 20th Avenue and Gulf Way.


In all, three victims were transported to Palms of Pasadena Hospital, one to All Children’s Hospital and one to Bayfront Medical Center.

None of the victims have been identified at this time and investigators are working to determine what happened.




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133. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 08:25 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
i think i need to sent a ticket to admin asking them to block images from being posted in the image pop up box

problem solved

message sent
Member Since: Juli 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40559
134. Hangten 08:26 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Very interesting entry Miss Angela. If you look at the last video on the Blog of Grothar it is with much humor.
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135. nigel20 08:26 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting sunlinepr:


Both islands receive WV from the trade winds from the E and due to the mountains, trap that moisture releasing it the afternoon... So you will have showers in the West coast almost every day......

Yeah, though there are some very high mountains on the eastern end of Jamaica (The Blue Mountains and John Crow Mountains)...these mountains receives in excess of 6000mm annually and they provide most of the rainfall for the city of Kingston. There have been water limitations in the eastern end of Jamaica due to the below average rainfall between May and June.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4538
136. tropicfreak 08:29 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting wolftribe2009:
The area of the GOM in the Bay of Campeche looks to be getting a good deal of wind shear. I have eyes on the area in the Central Atlantic that NOAA has given 10% chance. A bit of a whirl there and thunderstorms increasing. We will have to keep an eye on it. I don't think it will become anything immediately but it might be interesting to follow.

Link


I beg to differ in part of the BOC disturbance.

Actually has an anticyclone over it.. and shear is 5-15 knots.



And is on a decreasing trend.

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137. TropicalAnalystwx13 08:29 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
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138. icmoore 08:30 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
It really is annoying when the blog gets messed up.
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139. Grothar 08:30 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i think i need to sent a ticket to admin asking them to block images from being posted in the image pop up box

problem solved

message sent


Good idea. I know I've messed up the blog a few times. It happens.
Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19542
140. Hurricanes305 08:31 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting wolftribe2009:
The area of the GOM in the Bay of Campeche looks to be getting a good deal of wind shear. I have eyes on the area in the Central Atlantic that NOAA has given 10% chance. A bit of a whirl there and thunderstorms increasing. We will have to keep an eye on it. I don't think it will become anything immediately but it might be interesting to follow.

Link


Its starting to eject itself from the ITCZ and shear will not be much of a problem. Also it have a decent moisture field to combat the dry air along with a mid-level spin. Once it gets into the caribbean it should be more interesting providing it survives. Shear in the caribbean is high at the moment if the upper ridge over now moves along with it into the caribb this could have a chance but it will have to content with Saharan dust so at 8 pm I will have to go 20%.
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141. Tropicsweatherpr 08:31 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting nigel20:

Yeah, though there are some very high mountains on the eastern end of Jamaica (The Blue Mountains and John Crow Mountains)...these mountains receives in excess of 6000mm annually and they provide most of the rainfall for the city of Kingston. There have been water limitations in the eastern end of Jamaica due to the below average rainfall between May and June.


Hopefully the wave brings the needed rain for the islands that have been in a drought in the past few weeks.This is from this afternoon's San Juan AFD.

FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY
INTO EARLY TUESDAY...TROPICAL WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE
WILL MOVE INTO/ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. AT THIS POINT...IT
APPEARS THAT THIS WAVE WILL FAVORABLY INTERACT WITH THE TUTT AXIS
TO THE WEST THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE FA AND LOCAL EFFECTS...TO
PRODUCE AT LEAST A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. OVERALL DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
WEDNESDAY
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 64 Comments: 8191
142. Grothar 08:32 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting Hangten:
Very interesting entry Miss Angela. If you look at the last video on the Blog of Grothar it is with much humor.


Did you understand it Hang? Ha
Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19542
143. JamesSA 08:33 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i think i need to sent a ticket to admin asking them to block images from being posted in the image pop up box

problem solved

message sent


I think you meant 'block videos from being posted in the image pop up box', did you not? This place would be pretty boring without any images!
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144. opal92nwf 08:34 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Just a little something I just made.
Image and video hosting by TinyPic">
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145. nigel20 08:34 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Hopefully the wave brings the needed rain for the islands that have been in a drought in the past few weeks.This is from this afternoon's San Juan AFD.

FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY
INTO EARLY TUESDAY...TROPICAL WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE
WILL MOVE INTO/ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. AT THIS POINT...IT
APPEARS THAT THIS WAVE WILL FAVORABLY INTERACT WITH THE TUTT AXIS
TO THE WEST THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE FA AND LOCAL EFFECTS...TO
PRODUCE AT LEAST A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. OVERALL DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
WEDNESDAY

I hope so too!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4538
146. sunlinepr 08:34 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting nigel20:

Yeah, though there are some very high mountains on the eastern end of Jamaica (The Blue Mountains and John Crow Mountains)...these mountains receives in excess of 6000mm annually and they provide most of the rainfall for the city of Kingston. There have been water limitations in the eastern end of Jamaica due to the below average rainfall between May and June.


How high are those mountains in Jamaica (the highest peak)?
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8447
147. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 08:36 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
143. JamesSA 8:33 PM GMT on June 27, 2012 +0
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i think i need to sent a ticket to admin asking them to block images from being posted in the image pop up box

problem solved

message sent

I think you meant 'block videos from being posted in the image pop up box', did you not? This place would be pretty boring without any images!
Action: Quote | Ignore User
Member Since: August 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 579


ya i meant vids
Member Since: Juli 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40559
148. Hangten 08:36 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting Grothar:


Did you understand it Hang? Ha


Most yes! Your fires there seem very bad. Are they being contained?
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149. ClimateChange 08:36 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Quoting IceCoast:
Come on rain!



Yeah, but they certainly don't need the lightning. Humidity levels are below 20% in the Denver metro area this afternoon.
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150. washingtonian115 08:36 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
Looks like some sort of anti-cyclone is trying to develop over our central atlantic wave.Mmmm.
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151. sunlinepr 08:37 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012    
32,000 displaced by Colorado wildfire: “This is a firestorm of epic proportions”
Posted on June 27, 2012

June 27, 2012 – COLORADO – Firefighters again will battle inferno-like conditions on Wednesday as they try to tame an explosive wildfire that has already chased some 32,000 residents from their homes near Colorado Springs, Colorado. “This is a firestorm of epic proportions,” Richard Brown, the Colorado Springs Fire chief, said late Tuesday. Winds gusting to 65 mph through mountain canyons blew the wildfire through containment lines into northwest Colorado Springs on Tuesday afternoon. Gov. John Hickenlooper surveyed the Waldo Canyon Fire, telling reporters it was a difficult sight to see. “There were people’s homes burned to the ground. It was surreal,” he said late Tuesday night. “There’s no question, it’s serious. It’s as serious as it gets.” The 6,200-acre fire remained only 5% contained. Officials labeled it as exhibiting “extreme fire behavior. The fire conditions could not be worse,” said Anne Rys-Sikora, spokeswoman for a multi-agency fire response team. “It is like a convection oven out there.” Colorado Springs set a record high of 101 on Tuesday as firefighters contended with brutal conditions, including ash falling on highways and neighborhoods. Officials rushed in crews and aerial equipment in a bid to slow the fire. The forecast stays hot and dry for the foreseeable future, with daytime highs not falling out of the 90s until early next week, according to the National Weather service. Dave Barjenbruch, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service office in Boulder, said the past week has been hellish across Colorado. “Even in the foothills, where most of the fires are going on, most days have been in the single-digit humidity,” he said. -CNN
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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