Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Angela Fritz, 07:17 PM GMT on Juni 27, 2012 | +36 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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"Amount of precipitation needed to bust drought conditions over the U.S., as of June 2, 2012. A Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDI) of -0.5 is considered the boundary of where a drought exists."
from Dr. Master's blog entry on June 11, 2012 (link)
92.0 °F
Feels Like 101 °F
But I do want to see what happens after it hits 50W.
Spin is approx at 12N 42W.
Fixed it for you, geezer.
so why does GA have the worst drought in the nation?
shouldnt AR have it?
Hi Datanerd, I'm up in Houston. You've probably noticed there are a lot of folks on WU from around here.
i know you could.
i could care less about weather too, but i care more instead
It's only 101 today in Austin..
Good question. I'll admit that I don't understand the Palmer Drought Index or how it's calculated to give you an answer. Hopefully someone else can help.
In the meantime, this is from the NCDC page:
The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) (known operationally as the Palmer Drought Index (PDI)) attempts to measure the duration and intensity of the long-term drought-inducing circulation patterns. Long-term drought is cumulative, so the intensity of drought during the current month is dependent on the current weather patterns plus the cumulative patterns of previous months. Since weather patterns can change almost literally overnight from a long-term drought pattern to a long-term wet pattern, the PDSI (PDI) can respond fairly rapidly.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/prel im/drought/palmer.html
I wont be able to do this, but i think somebody should
message from BDAwx:
Can I ask someone to go here and save radar images of post-tropical storm Debby as it passes to our north late on friday night and send them to
me. I will be on an island with no electricity camping during this time (hopefully I will be safe :S) and I want to have some record of the storm.
Thanks.
He said just save anything that looks cool and the storm as it passes north of the island, you dont have to save the whole thing of the passage.
Nope. The (NHC)ATCF has been tracking exDebby to (nearly) the center of the AreaOfInterest.
If a TropicalCyclone pops up in that AOI, it'll be a revivification of Debby.
We need rain badly and this wave if it stays like it is now,will bring it by Monday.Here is this afternoon's discussion of wave by the San Juan NWS.
MOISTURE INCREASES SUN AHEAD OF THE MAIN WAVE ACROSS THE CNTRL
TROP ATLC FOR BETTER CHANCES OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION. THEN
TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE ERN CARIBBEAN SEA MON WITH ENHANCED
CHANCES OF RAINFALL ACROSS ERN PR...SOUTH COAST AND CARIBBEAN SEA.
THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A LARGE ENVELOPE OF DEEP MOISTURE AND HAS
MODERATE AMOUNTS OF MID LEVEL ROTATION/SPIN SO IT DOES HAVE A
SMALL CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A DEPRESSION. TC CLIMATOLOGY
SUGGESTS TROPICAL STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THE FIRST TEND DAYS OF
JULY TEND TO DO IT CLOSE TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WITH MOST OF
THEM STAYING WELL SOUTH OF PR. ONLY A FEW OF THEM HAD TAKEN A MORE
NORTHWEST HEADING. FOR NOW JUST THINK SOME BENEFICIAL SHOWERS AND
SQUALLY WEATHER ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. THINGS DRY
OUT RAPIDLY MON NIGHT. THEN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ONCE AGAIN
OVER THE AREA WITH A RETURN TO THE DRY WEATHER THAT WE EXPERIENCED
MOST OF JUNE.
I noticed that too after I posted the link (have it in my favorites). It was working fine this morning, but it has been down all afternoon.
Dat would be U.S. Marine Veteran Geezer to you sport.
: )
Sometimes the image won't be loaded (especially the first time) when you see the comment because of an overly long response-time from the address holding the image.
Happens about half the time when I load up images: first viewing of the comment shows nada. Reload, and there it is. (Less often, upon a reReloading, or a rereRe...)
Yes sir!
Thanks alot. I'll try that the next time I have a problem :)
Thank you for your service, old salt.
30 Day SOI: -11.6
90 Day SOI: -6.7
That is funny. I was trying to think of what Gov. Goodhair could be an expert on... but I drew a complete blank. oops.
It got to 101 in Tomball so far, but we had an outflow boundary from a dying storm nearby push through, which drove the temp down to 86. (Its recovered in the last 15 minutes to 92...)
Pret' much a permanent feature of the ABC Islands, ain't it? Near drought, nearly all the time? What I don't get is how you can be so close to Venezuela&Colombia, and not get soaked when they do.
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #29
TROPICAL STORM DOKSURI (T1206)
3:00 AM JST June 29 2012
==========================================
SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Doksuri (996 hPa) is located at 19.5N 119.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 12 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
===============
240 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
200 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
===========================
24 HRS: 21.6N 115.3E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
48 HRS: 23.1N 112.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Overland South China
72 HRS: 23.9N 109.1E - Tropical Depression Overland South China
Not sure if my first post came through
Semper Fi, mate. I got your back!
I was going to ask you why you keep wrestling with pigs, when they have fun and you get muddy. Then I remembered ...."Once a Marine...Always a Marine".
But then, wrestling on the internet is far less dangerous than the jungles of Southeast Asia or the sands of the Middle East.
Hey Tribucanes...yes, I'm good. How are you?
Yes it did. It is also so hot in Jamaica as well...hopefully you'll become a regular on the blog.
has cooled down to 99.5 now ...
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