Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Category 1 Hurricane Carlotta hits Mexico

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 04:30 PM GMT on Juni 16, 2012

+28

Hurricane Carlotta made landfall near Escondido, Mexico Friday night at 8 pm PDT as a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds. Carlotta moved inland over the rugged terrain of Mexico this morning, and has weakened to a tropical depression. Since Carlotta was a relatively small hurricane, strong winds affected only a small portion of the coast, and wind damage was probably fairly limited. However, the hurricane has dumped heavy rains along the coast to the east of Acapulco, and two deaths from a landslide triggered by heavy rains occurred this morning in the Oaxaca state community of Pluma Hidalgo. Carlotta will continue to dump heavy rains along the coast to the east of Acapulco, and the 4 - 8 inches of total rainfall that will occur in some areas will be capable of causing more life-threatening flash floods and landslides through the weekend.

Figure 1. Radar image of Carlotta from the Puerto Ánoel radar shortly before the storm made landfall.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

Have a great weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

Categories: Hurricane

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701. Grothar 04:33 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: It was still made a week ago, making it outdated. A week ago it appeared that development could take place in the west Caribbean. Now it looks to be the Bay of Campeche. It is possible something could develop in both areas. A number of low pressure areas are expected to form in both areas. Don't lose hope. Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19484

702. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 04:33 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Member Since: Juli 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40334

703. hydrus 04:33 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: It was still made a week ago, making it outdated. A week ago it appeared that development could take place in the west Caribbean. Now it looks to be the Bay of Campeche. Well then technically it was made three and a half days ago, which means it was made half a week ago..lol Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14220

704. Patrap 04:35 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
There are 9 US Bases on Okinawa..they are very Typhoon savvy folks as I served there in the USMC at Camp Hansen. Member Since: Juli 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244

705. Patrap 04:36 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
New Entry: "Mark".. LOL Member Since: Juli 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244

706. BahaHurican 04:39 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115: Leave crown weather alone.Maybe they agree on the same thing.Geesh you all treat the kid like a celeb.. Hey, if we can't tease our own, who can we tease... LOL Quoting stormwatcherCI: Rob Lightbown. Yeah, Rob - I got the R right, anyway... pretty cool guy, IIRC... And Hellooo, stormwatcherCI... was just wondering what was up with u... Member Since: Oktober 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17588

707. PedleyCA 04:51 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Quoting aspectre: inre comment656... I reduced the sizes of the SST and Depth26 maps by 1/2, then stacked them side-by-side for easier comparisons. Seems like they're better for color comparisons, but the writing is unreadable. So what do you guys think? Keep them at reduced size or return them to a readable size? Would adding links to full-sized maps make the reduced size maps acceptably better? I like what you did. Everything is better with a link to the original. Member Since: Februar 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2130

708. Jedkins01 05:11 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Quoting hydrus: This is been happening for a few years now. I have seen droughts on the west coast, but not like what has been going on. The backward pattern as we always called it has been more dominant. This certainly is not normal. Yeah, it is starting to scare me a little... Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 5321

709. Skyepony (Mod) 05:55 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
I'm not buying this BOC storm yet. That should end in the EPAC. The sheared Atlantic blob may pull out a little sooner than I thought but still pulling trough & moisture over Cuba & such like I mentioned. Still like the SW Caribbean blob. Nice blob there now. That may twist abit but fail to close. That's the drowning I was talking about for Cuba the other day..I'll add Haiti, most of DR & Jamaica to that.. The actual SW Caribbean blob I'm expecting should get going in a few days, it could die over the Yucatan like the last one or become something.. Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29234

710. wunderkidcayman 07:32 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Hello everyone just popping in our low in the SW caribbean looking good so far Member Since: Juni 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5374

711. aspectre 08:00 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
NEW BLOG Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4846

712. sunlinepr 08:09 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8435

713. Hurricanes305 08:20 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Quoting Skyepony: I'm not buying this BOC storm yet. That should end in the EPAC. The sheared Atlantic blob may pull out a little sooner than I thought but still pulling trough & moisture over Cuba & such like I mentioned. Still like the SW Caribbean blob. Nice blob there now. That may twist abit but fail to close. That's the drowning I was talking about for Cuba the other day..I'll add Haiti, most of DR & Jamaica to that.. The actual SW Caribbean blob I'm expecting should get going in a few days, it could die over the Yucatan like the last one or become something.. Hmmm very good explanation of the tropical mischief Skyepony. Member Since: Maj 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 746

714. Hurricanes305 08:25 PM GMT on Juni 17, 2012
Quoting wunderkidcayman: Hello everyone just popping in our low in the SW caribbean looking good so far Hey man, how's it going. Look like the tropical mess in the caribbean have a better chance of development than the BOC solution by some of the models. The low in the sw carribbean should move north as the monsoonal trough lifts a litte bit north as well thus absorbing the convection and organizing slowly just southeast of the Yucatan then move north in the gulf where there is some nice upper ridging (<10 knots of shear) and develop. Member Since: Maj 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 746

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