U.S. experiences warmest 12-month period on record
The past twelve months were the warmest twelve months in U.S. history, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) on Tuesday, in their monthly "State of the Climate" report. Temperatures in the contiguous U.S. during May 2011 - April 2012 broke the previous record for warmest 12-month period, set November 1999 - October 2000, by 0.1°F. The past twelve months have featured America's 2nd warmest summer, 4th warmest winter, and warmest March on record. Twenty-two states were record warm for the 12-month period, and an additional nineteen states were top ten warm. NOAA said that the January - April 2012 period was also the warmest January - April period since record keeping began in 1895. The average temperature of 45.4°F during January - April 2012 was 5.4°F above the 20th century average for the period, and smashed the previous record set in 2006 by an unusually large margin--1.6°F.
Figure 1. The ten warmest 12-month periods in the contiguous U.S. since record keeping began in 1895. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
Figure 2. The average temperature of 45.4°F during January - April 2012 was the warmest on record: 5.4°F above the 20th century average for the period, and was 1.6°F above the previous record set in 2006. January - April temperatures have been rising at about 1.9°F per century since 1895. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
April 2012: 3rd warmest on record
April 2012 was the third warmest April in the contiguous U.S. since record keeping began in 1895. Ten states had a top-ten warmest April, and no states were cooler than average. But what's really remarkable about April was that eight states--Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia--had average April temperatures cooler than their March temperatures, even though their April temperatures were still above the long-term average for the month. These statistics show just how remarkably warm March 2012 was. Most extreme was Illinois, where April 2012 temperatures ranked in the top 20% for warmest Aprils, yet were cooler than March 2012 temperatures.
Figure 3. Temperature rankings for April 2012 in the Contiguous U.S. Ten states had a top-ten warmest April, and no states were cooler than average. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
Figure 4. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - April shows that 2012 had the most extreme weather on record.
Most extreme January - April on record
NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), an index that tracks the highest 10 percent and lowest 10 percent of extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought, was 42% during the January-April period, over twice the average value, and the greatest on record. Remarkably, 82% of the contiguous U.S. had maximum temperatures that were in the warmest 10% historically, and 68% had warm minimum temperatures in the top 10%, with records going back to 1910. The previous records were 56% (2000) and 57% (1992) for maximum and minimum temperatures, respectively. The percentage area of the U.S. experiencing top-10% drought conditions during January - April was 19%, which was the 17th greatest since 1910. Extremes in precipitation as computed by the CEI were near average for the January - April period.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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Quoting, a paragraph:-
"I really hope Gundersen is full of crap and/or that they can get that #4 pool stabilized quickly. Or hurricanes will soon be the least of our worries."
It probably cant be done.
With the technology available to them at this stage of the operation, if they could have stabilized the situation after more than a year they would have done it by now, or at least tried.
All the evidence points to the fact that they cant do anything about it and are just siting there hoping and maybe waiting for somebody to come up with a solution.
The collapse of the structure may be, or is probably inevitable from an engineering point of view. Plus nobody has any experience of this kind of thing historically.
To describe their situation as "Dire," is hopelessly optermistic!
it misses the conus in that run
It missed on the 12z run too but its definitely farther away this run... As TA 13 said, still Alberto, but weaker.
About a year ago I suggested using tower cranes to first spry water on the things when they first got out of hand and later spray concrete from a mobile concrete pump.
They got round to the tower cranes and the water spray I note! From the photos.
My latest protegee is to construct a massive version of an bulldozer, a bit like a scaled up Caterpillar D9.
This would not be problem for them, as they have companies like Mitsubishi heavy industries, they could then demolish the structures and pick up the pieces.
One hell of a job but they could have made the super D9 by now. I just think they don't know what to do? So they do nothing.
A Japanese Scientist told me once that the inventiveness of the nation had been killed off by centuries of samurai genetic weeding out, IE if it thinks, kill it!
no it actually touches Florida in th 12Z ..the center just offshore..the 18Z bypasses Florida altogether and makes a hard right..
the 18Z and 00Z runs are not the best runs for the GFS as I have always been told on this blog..this storm is a long way out and if it materializes so you will see a lot of flip flop with the GFS
lol
Interesting... The 12z Euro didn't show anything though so I still don't really buy it.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
613 PM EDT WED MAY 9 2012
AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054 -058-059-064-141-
144-147-100000-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
613 PM EDT WED MAY 9 2012
.NOW...
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL MOVE
TOWARD THE EAST AROUND 15 MPH. THE HIGHEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL CROSS THE COAST OF BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES...
AND MOVE OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL ALSO REACH ACROSS NORTHEAST LAKE COUNTY INTO VOLUSIA COUNTY.
EXPECT HEAVY DOWNPOURS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY
WINDS AS THE ACTIVITY PASSES.
&&
ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP
$$
52
It shows a low pressure area in the same exact spot as the 12Z GFS did.
240 hours out.
Very weak though... So weak I didn't notice it :)
1009 mbar?
That's not very strong... GFS at that time is 1004... Still, since it's in the same spot I guess you could say the Euro sort of supports the idea of storm formation.
Scientists have found that the massive swirl of plastic waste known as the ‘Great Pacific Garbage Patch’ has increased a hundredfold since the early 1970s, which could spell major changes for California and other coastal states
And the link:-
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2141911/S cientists-Amount-plastic-Texas-sized-Great-Pacific -Garbage-Patch-increased-HUNDREDFOLD-1970s.html
Meanwhile I note that the gulf is getting very warm on the SSTs!
204 hours*
*long non-winter.
Seriously?!?!?!? Kinda like sayin' it's gonna be sandy and salty at the beach....I mean....he ain't exactly stickin' his neck out....
Yeah, he should have said the Carolinas are more at risk instead of just "East Coast." :-)
(when you dont post, you tend to miss the trolls. Plus i was too young to notice them, i just looked for cool-looking stuff)
You are just saying that because this low might form and be a minimal TS, and then you'd only need one more to get two....
We've had our share. Katrina was enough to last a lifetime, so we will blow anything that comes this way towards you.
Go through some of these...it'll give you an idea of what its like when there is an active tropical cyclone.
Link
Go through some of these before Danielle formed...it'll give you an idea of what its like on the blog during hurricane season with no active tropical cyclones for a while.
Link
Lol...I doubt he's putting too much faith in a model at 240+ hours.
I think the cyclone has a good chance at forming. Where it goes is up in the air at this point, although the ECMWF/GFS do have a pretty strong trough at the time.
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