Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting Stormchaser2007:
TxMarc71

Mail.

Ciao everyone. Have a good night.

See ya!

Quoting scott39:
What model is that?

GFS. It's under the upper air graphics tab. It's referred to as "850mb vort".

Good Evening to all

Blog Update

Several features to keep an eye on

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
GFS. It's under the upper air graphics tab. It's referred to as "850mb vort".

Is it reliable?

Things tend to look ominous and intimidating in this sat pics and the TW here is a long way from looking intimidating, therefore it isn't.

Quoting wfyweather:


Who said I didn't have experience or knowledge? I think you have NO IDEA how much knowledge or experience I have!!

from your brief comments you have proven yourself

Quoting hunkerdown:
from your brief comments you have proven yourself

Want to show me those brief comments in which I have proven myself? I happen to have over 13 years in forecasting experience... and more knowledge than at least half of the folks here...

Quoting Bolero:
XCool, you shouldn't have a young boy looking and reading through a public online weather forum/blog, you caught my dirft there, WTF, :0. Assuming of course, it's actually happening. BTW, aquack, Senior year, madame, I'll be hopefully off to graduate School next fall, I've taken' the LSAT already, hopefully I passed, and then I'll be of to Law School, ma'am.


That is interesting. I took the LSAT recently, and I have my score. One other observation, you do not "pass" the LSAT. Go on to your account at LSAC.org and retrieve your score.

And to stay on topic, I am liking the wave for slow development. Westward as well. I believe that is a relatively safe bet.

Quoting BahaHurican:
Ya'll are living in a dream world.

1. Who says trolls can't afford membership fees?

2. If pple WOULD STOP TALKING ABOUT THE GUY there would be no problem. So far 2day I have [-]ed about 20 posts by the alleged troll and nearly 200 by bloggers who quote him, talk to and about him, and warn others to stop. THIS IS THE NON-WEATHER CONVERSATION THAT IS KILLING THE BLOG. I have been fed up all day because I can't see the wx conversation w/out having to wade through all the other non-wx comments. And some of the very pple lamenting the state of the blog are the ones who are causing the horrible state!!!!!

I keep promising not to post again about what other pple are saying, and I will try to stick to that promise in the future. However, I will say it again, and I have a feeling a lot of bloggers are quietly using their keypads to do the same:

Any blogger who a) quotes a troll b) responds to a troll's baiting c) references or draws attention to a troll d) cracks jokes on a troll or e) quotes anybody who does any of the a) to d) above will be [-]ed and [!] as necessary.

Less talk; more action, concerned bloggers.

You are correct sir. Great point. I will stop falling into the trap.

162

testy to day?....hmmmmm...looks like we need a "real" storm to track in order to soothe the flare-up of "stormy" weather in here...

The weather overcast slight rain the met office had issue flash flood watch yesterday

Day-ummm..


Swirls at da Mouth of the River...casting ?


That will change, First out never gets the worm.

Quoting hurrkat05:
ok guys the wave off africa is about to get swallowed up by the ploom of dry air...no chance for development here are anywhere else for the next 10 days..

Wrong Wrong Wrong...

Quoting HurricaneSwirl:


Repost #4..

There may not have been any advisories from HPC on Alex. Issuance of Tropical Cyclone Advisories by HPC:

Excerpt:

Under NWS Directive 10-601 Section 6.9.2.2, "The HPC will issue public advisories after NHC discontinues its advisories on subtropical and tropical cyclones that have moved inland, but still pose a threat of heavy rains and flash floods in the conterminous United States or adjacent areas within Mexico which affect the drainage basins of NWS River Forecast Centers.

Doesnt look like a western Gulf threat with the ridge breaking down over the northern gulf

Evening everyone, looks like the Leeward Islands are encountering the wave.

Loop

Nice little spin but doesn't look too bad yet.

Quoting scott39:
Is it reliable?

It's the parallel GFS, the way you view it is the only difference.

Quoting Bolero:
thank you, 456! evening, how you've been, my friend? ^_^.

Been good.

NEW ORLEANS — A federal official said Sunday that scientists are concerned about a seep and possible methane seen near BP's busted oil well in the Gulf of Mexico.

Both could be signs there are leaks in the well that's been capped off for three days.

The official spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity Sunday because an announcement about the next steps had not yet been made.

The official is familiar with the spill oversight but would not clarify what is seeping near the well. The official said BP is not complying with the government's demand for more monitoring. BP spokesman Mark Salt declined to comment on the allegation, but said "we continue to work very closely with all government scientists on this."

Tonight:

Warm, with a 100% chance of arguing.

Quoting hurrkat05:
ally a real storm won't develop until around the 10th of august...all these blobs are exactly blobs not going to do anything..

Exactly blobs? No... not exactly. ;) They are tropical disturbances... well.... the one near the leeward and the one of the African Coast are.... I agree that it may be a while until actual formation occurs... but August 10th is probably a little bit of an over statement

Hi. I'm here reading, often. Like many others, I appreciate the insight, knowledge and educational value found here on this blog.

As far as the issues with 'trolls', please remember that no matter what anyone says to you, only you are responsible for your reactions. The best reaction is to ignore.

Thanks again for the appropriate use of this blog. And now back to the tropical weather....

Where is New Orleans

Quoting Ivanhater:
Where is New Orleans

That is the parallel 18z GFS correct?

Quoting Weather456:
Good Evening to all

Blog Update

Several features to keep an eye on

Great update!

Quoting wfyweather:


Exactly blobs? No... not exactly. ;) They are tropical disturbances... well.... the one near the leeward and the one of the African Coast are.... I agree that it may be a while until actual formation occurs... but August 10th is probably a little bit of an over statement

I think the wave off the coast of Africa will develop if it can make it past SAL. ALl it needs to do iis better define its closed circulation, acquire TS winds, and gain organized convection and we have TS Bonnie.

#1130.

Usually between Jefferson and St. Bernard Parish.

Quoting hurrkat05:
well wfy look at the charts the rtopics have hostile conditions..the dust rules the cape verdes and the shear rules the caribbean sea...

Uh there is no high shear over the Caribbean lol can you read a map? Link

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I think the wave off the coast of Africa will develop if it can make it past SAL. ALl it needs to do iis better define its closed circulation, acquire TS winds, and gain organized convection and we have TS Bonnie.

You dont think the leeward wave will develope first?

Quoting wfyweather:
1131. weatherman12345 10:34 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting wfyweather:


Exactly blobs? No... not exactly. ;) They are tropical disturbances... well.... the one near the leeward and the one of the African Coast are.... I agree that it may be a while until actual formation occurs... but August 10th is probably a little bit of an over statement

troll dont respond

I am far from a troll.... and I'd appreciate it if you dont attack me.. im not looking for a ban... and thats what ill get if i get attacked one more time..

No, No, he's saying that hurrikate is a troll and dont respond to her.

Quoting Patrap:
#1130.

Usually between Jefferson and St. Bernard Parish.

Pat, where is it unusually?

Quoting Skyepony:
NEW ORLEANS — A federal official said Sunday that scientists are concerned about a seep and possible methane seen near BP's busted oil well in the Gulf of Mexico.

Both could be signs there are leaks in the well that's been capped off for three days.

The official spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity Sunday because an announcement about the next steps had not yet been made.

The official is familiar with the spill oversight but would not clarify what is seeping near the well. The official said BP is not complying with the government's demand for more monitoring. BP spokesman Mark Salt declined to comment on the allegation, but said "we continue to work very closely with all government scientists on this."

Saw dat skyepony.

Itsa creepy.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I think the wave off the coast of Africa will develop if it can make it past SAL. ALl it needs to do iis better define its closed circulation, acquire TS winds, and gain organized convection and we have TS Bonnie.

Yes... I agree there.... if it can develop BEFORE hitting that dry, dusty air... the SAL may not even affect it that much... I think it has at least some chance.... but we also have to give it more time over water to see what happens with it.

Quoting msgambler:
Pat, where is it unusually?

Depends on how many Hurricane ya had at Pat O's usually.

Quoting scott39:
You dont think the leeward wave will develope first?

No, I dont think it will develop...

I think the Jamaican Blob and African Blob has the most potential I give both at least a 50-50 chance of development tho just a layman.

1141. weatherman12345 10:36 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting wfyweather:
1131. weatherman12345 10:34 PM GMT on July 18, 2010
Quoting wfyweather:


Exactly blobs? No... not exactly. ;) They are tropical disturbances... well.... the one near the leeward and the one of the African Coast are.... I agree that it may be a while until actual formation occurs... but August 10th is probably a little bit of an over statement

troll dont respond

I am far from a troll.... and I'd appreciate it if you dont attack me.. im not looking for a ban... and thats what ill get if i get attacked one more time..

no no not you talkin bout the person u just quoted

Sorry man,,,,, been a rough day in my neck of the woods.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


No, I dont think it will develop...

Hmmm, Why not?